Crazy-Fishmonger

0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Crazy-Fishmonger: +$2.9K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.9K
return +45.7%
Settled bets
3
$6.4K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 SELL Yes @ 75¢
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? $3.3K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 68¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? $2.1K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 47¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? $1.3K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 48¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? $2.7K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 48¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? $1.9K
Sep 25 BUY Yes @ 31¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? $3.2K
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 43¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? $1.8K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 89¢
Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026? $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed