Lively-Provider
0x1fee90f352fd362ea4bf13c6ed7cdd83a4d2ed5e
Lively-Provider: +$7.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$7.1K
return +12.7%
Settled bets
2
$56K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$7.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $14K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 36¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $151K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $29K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 71¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $22K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Yes
@ 58¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | $7.4K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 34¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $3.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 34¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $5.6K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 69¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.