Submissive-Clan

0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Submissive-Clan: −$3.6K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 24%–76%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.6K
return −2.8%
Settled bets
10
$132K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 24%–76%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$5.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$822
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$8.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL No @ 72¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? $1.6K
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 61¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? $13K
Oct 8 SELL Yes @ 58¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? $3.4K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 87¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? $1.2K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 87¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? $1.2K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 64¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? $42K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? $3.1K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? $48K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed