Solid-Porcelain
0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e
Solid-Porcelain: +$8.1K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 62% (95% range 41%–79%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$8.1K
return +14.7%
Settled bets
21
$55K staked
Won
61.9%
95% range 41%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$6.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Giants
@ 41¢
Spread: Giants (-1.5) |
Spread: Giants (-1.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Panthers
@ 49¢
Spread: Lions (-3.5) |
Spread: Lions (-3.5) | $2.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 |
Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 | $3.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $11K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Solary
@ 37¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | $2.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Galions
@ 41¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs |
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | $3.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Texans
@ 53¢
Texans vs. Colts |
Texans vs. Colts | $2.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Jets vs. Lions: O/U 48.5 |
Jets vs. Lions: O/U 48.5 | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.