Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $79K on this market since Sep 20, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,612 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 92¢ | $66K | — |
| Wooden-Prescription
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $4.7K | — |
| 0x98d0…f14a
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Separate-Goose
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Weird-Freedom
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Forceful-Scratch
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Rewarding-Kangaroo
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$79K100% of whale buying · 7 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 20 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793775663).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $845K | 135 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $922K | 92 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $2.99M | 209 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $562K | 103 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $131K | 26 | Open | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | $186K | 25 | Open | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $105K | 25 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $156K | 25 | Open |