Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $59K into this market since Sep 4, 100% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Personal-Bake
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.5¢ $20K —
Velvety-Burn
111 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.19¢ $15K —
Grown-Fence
28 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 99.28¢ $7.1K —
Harsh-Macro
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.3¢ $3.5K —
Attentive-Crewman
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.5¢ $2.2K —
Curvy-Speculation
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.3¢ $2.0K —
Cheery-Preparation
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.3¢ $2.0K —
0x0def…ab31
no settled record
No @ 99.3¢ $1.5K —
0x066e…32ff
no settled record
No @ 99.3¢ $1.3K —
0xff42…f515
no settled record
No @ 99.3¢ $1.3K —
Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.4¢ $1.3K —
Outlandish-Hardening
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K
Menacing-Blogger
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.3¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $58K
    100% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $1.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 4 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed