New-Conference
0x06fb6a9076bd43360d93660c0ca9086db5dd9713
New-Conference: +$2.5K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2.5K
return +22.1%
Settled bets
9
$11K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | SELL Yes
@ 69¢
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? |
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | $1.3K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | $1.0K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | $1.2K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 96¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30? | $1.3K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 47¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $2.8K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? | $1.0K |
| Aug 27 | BUY No
@ 96¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | $2.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.