Unripe-Split

0x4ad6cadefae3c28f5b2caa32a99ebba3a614464c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unripe-Split: +$436 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$436
return +0.4%
Settled bets
6
$98K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$11
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$7
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$418
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.7¢
Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?
Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? $1.7K
Oct 7 BUY Up @ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? $72K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Legacy Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?
Will Legacy Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? $1.3K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 99.83¢
Will BetBoom Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?
Will BetBoom Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? $1.6K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? $11K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 99.5¢
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? $21K
Sep 30 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? $1.5K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 99.5¢
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? $55K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed