Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
24 whales put $141K into this market since Aug 20, 83% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 19 made +$21K and 3 lost −$17K: +$4.0K between them.
The whales on this market
24 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Generous-Sardine
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 82¢ | $19K | — | +$4.0K |
| Oblong-Pioneer
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 66¢ | $16K | — | +$2.5K |
| 0x98d0…f14a
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $16K | — | −$9.8K |
| 0x4488…e319
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 73¢ | $14K | — | +$5.3K |
| Trusting-Bungalow
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $11K | — | +$631 |
| 0x4e56…dee1
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 66¢ | $6.6K | $4.5K | +$1.2K |
| Twin-Cupola
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 74¢ | $7.2K | — | +$2.5K |
| Powerful-Election
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99¢ | $5.5K | — | +$56 |
| Questionable-Flame
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.8K | — |
| Defiant-Competence-Initiative
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 34¢ | $4.7K | — | −$4.7K |
| Detailed-Fatherinlaw
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $4.6K | — | +$91 |
| Fearless-Misnomer
35 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 70¢ | $2.4K | $1.2K | +$55 |
| Burdensome-Judgment
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 69¢ | $2.1K | $1.3K | +$263 |
| Each-Summary
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 76¢ | $3.1K | — | +$945 |
| Meek-Drummer
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 87¢ | $2.9K | — | +$440 |
| Determined-Valuable
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.5¢ | $2.5K | — | +$12 |
| Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 33¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Carefree-Ale
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Each-Jeans
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.5K | — | +$663 |
| Careful-Bunch
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.4K | — | +$124 |
| Lean-Attraction
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 67¢ | $1.4K | — | +$703 |
| International-Brass-Polliwog
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 86¢ | $1.4K | — | +$229 |
| 0x9a34…a28b
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 75¢ | $1.3K | — | +$437 |
| Drab-Diploma
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 66¢ | $1.1K | — | +$555 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$106K83% of whale buying · 20 buyers · $13K sold
-
No lost$13K10% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Yes lost$9.5K7% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | $72K | 15 | Won: No | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | $132K | 26 | Won: No | |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | $56K | 12 | Won: Yes | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $73K | 8 | Won: No | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $797K | 41 | Won: No | |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | $130K | 10 | Won: Yes | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | $126K | 30 | Won: Yes | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $3.60M | 62 | Won: No |