Burdensome-Judgment
0xd24b95551eb288ff82bb625dcd7f32f62abdef76
Burdensome-Judgment: −$2.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.6K
return −36.9%
Settled bets
4
$7.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$263
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$1.3K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 88¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 65¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | SELL No
@ 63¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $2.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 87¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.7K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 40¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.2K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $1.8K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes
@ 75¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $6.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.