Carefree-Ale
0xa43da0aab839cf651a70e0e310462bb53a3b00f4
Carefree-Ale: −$509 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$509
return −21.8%
Settled bets
2
$2.3K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$509
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | SELL Yes
@ 91¢
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | $3.0K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | $2.3K |
| Aug 24 | SELL Yes
@ 66¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | $1.6K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.