Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $56K into this market since Sep 9, 96% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$4.2K and 1 lost −$1.9K: +$2.3K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Kosher-Fountain
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 84¢ $10K $3.0K +$1.9K
Hideous-Racer
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $9.8K — +$180
Eminent-Accordion
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 79¢ $5.5K — +$1.5K
Peppery-Capital
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $4.9K — +$90
Agitated-Jalapeño
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 97¢ $4.8K — +$174
0x197c…9b94
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 95¢ $1.9K $1.4K +$37
Kind-Boxspring
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $2.9K — +$50
Flat-Badger
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.5¢ $2.9K — +$14
Short-Convention
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.3¢ $2.9K — +$20
Damp-Accountant
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $2.8K — +$180
Scary-Cardboard
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Overjoyed-Camera-Implementation
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $1.5K — +$23

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $50K
    96% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $4.5K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $1.9K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed