Each-Summary
0x7e5972bfc25819775ee5a9d4f191919375487b8b
Each-Summary: −$203 on 43 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 72% (95% range 57%–83%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$203
return −0.3%
Settled bets
43
$68K staked
Won
72.1%
95% range 57%–83%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 43 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Jakub Mensik
@ 75¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 61¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 61¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY USC
@ 50¢
Spread: USC (-9.5) |
Spread: USC (-9.5) | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Rangers
@ 99¢
Rangers vs. Red Wings |
Rangers vs. Red Wings | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Aurora
@ 59¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.