Detailed-Fatherinlaw

0xf036f9631ae2fc83821b3a8581892109d506b8f1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Detailed-Fatherinlaw: +$3.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.3K
return +10.3%
Settled bets
3
$32K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$91
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.2K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Yes @ 90¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? $18K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 89¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? $9.7K
Aug 25 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? $1.9K
Aug 25 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? $2.7K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed