Twin-Cupola
0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc
Twin-Cupola: +$6.2K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$6.2K
return +57.7%
Settled bets
5
$11K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$44
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | SELL Yes
@ 99¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | $2.9K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $9.2K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $3.1K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 96¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | $4.6K |
| Sep 3 | SELL Yes
@ 85¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | $3.7K |
| Sep 3 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Yes
@ 99.2¢
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? |
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | $2.3K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | $3.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.