Lean-Attraction

0xbad26fe5458e6219cec3e40272760e275e835296

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Lean-Attraction: +$3.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.6K
return +51.8%
Settled bets
5
$6.9K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$703
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$563
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Hurricanes @ 69¢
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks $1.7K
Oct 9 BUY Devils @ 69¢
Canucks vs. Devils
Canucks vs. Devils $2.2K
Oct 7 BUY Yes @ 62¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? $1.4K
Oct 3 BUY Senators @ 49¢
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
Senators vs. Maple Leafs $1.6K
Sep 19 SELL No @ 59¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? $1.3K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 74¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $1.6K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 67¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? $1.4K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed