Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales put $54K into this market since Sep 17, 87% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nautical-Placement
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 84¢ | $20K | — |
| 0x71dd…d61c
no settled record |
Yes @ 92¢ | $5.0K | — |
| 0x6919…da67
no settled record |
Yes @ 78¢ | $1.0K | $2.0K |
| 0x152f…a549
no settled record |
No @ 19¢ | $2.8K | — |
| Bewitched-Stench-Neuropsychiatry
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $2.5K | — |
| 0xd640…480c
no settled record |
Yes @ 76¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K |
| 0x264d…6f2b
no settled record |
Yes @ 81¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0xa1e0…e93e
no settled record |
Yes @ 84¢ | $2.0K | — |
| All-Peasant-Drug
907 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 23¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Enraged-Invite
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K |
| Peppery-Capital
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 77¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0x5a91…f746
no settled record |
Yes @ 84¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Similar-Balloonist
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 21¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Definitive-Resume
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Fabulous-Online
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 76¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 78¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$40K87% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $6.1K sold
-
No$4.2K9% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.3K sold
-
No$1.9K4% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 17 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791788420).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $372K | 54 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $149K | 24 | Open | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $139K | 30 | Open | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.52M | 187 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | $171K | 18 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.24M | 101 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $78K | 18 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $349K | 37 | Open |