Pointless-Measure
Skill vs luck
Pointless-Measure on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$585. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Pointless-Measure: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x141ef9052a46984e9d403100dc9c611d48388c87. Data CC BY 4.0.
Pointless-Measure: +$585 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$585
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL No @ 91¢ | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $6.1K |
| Oct 26 | BUY No @ 71¢ | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 92¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $6.6K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?