Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $71K on this market since Sep 9, 63% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.2¢ more per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Determined-Valuable
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 62¢ | $15K | — |
| 0x89ad…eab4
no settled record |
Yes @ 31¢ | $14K | — |
| 0x545f…60e8
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $9.8K |
| 0x19f2…0121
no settled record |
Yes @ 33¢ | $6.0K | — |
| 0x1fda…af6d
no settled record |
Yes @ 31¢ | $5.3K | — |
| 0x2321…a828
no settled record |
Yes @ 32¢ | $3.9K | — |
| 0x7fcc…97b3
no settled record |
Yes @ 32¢ | $3.0K | — |
| Advanced-Mailer
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 63¢ | $2.5K | — |
| 0xee32…046c
no settled record |
No @ 57¢ | $2.5K | — |
| 0x5e18…e001
no settled record |
Yes @ 31¢ | $2.2K | — |
| Sticky-Closing
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 39¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0xaaf2…6102
no settled record |
Yes @ 32¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Tedious-Congo
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 67¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Vague-Speech
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| 0x4663…74b1
no settled record |
Yes @ 31¢ | $1.0K | — |
| 0xcb1c…95dc
no settled record |
Yes @ 41¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$38K63% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $11K sold
-
No$21K35% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
Yes$1.0K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $80K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $226K | 39 | Open | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $55K | 12 | Open | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $89K | 28 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $248K | 33 | Open | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | $66K | 13 | Open | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $76K | 23 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | $268K | 31 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?