Jaded-Comb-Club
Skill vs luck
Jaded-Comb-Club on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$18K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Jaded-Comb-Club: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x73d04955fb554aba05451f57598812b8f2e0239c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Jaded-Comb-Club: −$18K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$18K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes @ 10¢ | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Yes @ 99¢ | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $4.9K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes @ 11¢ | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $4.9K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Yes @ 98¢ | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $4.9K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 30¢ | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $30K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Yes @ 80¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $18K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?