Unripe-Whisker
0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2d
Unripe-Whisker: −$11K on 63 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 91% (95% range 81%–96%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$11K
return −4.5%
Settled bets
63
$247K staked
Won
90.5%
95% range 81%–96%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 58 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$13K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$470
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary? |
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary? | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.71¢
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? |
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.62¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? |
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99.76¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | $28K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 69¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 79¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $1.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | $8.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.