Sniveling-Produce
Skill vs luck
Sniveling-Produce on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 51%–100%) · profit +$5.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sniveling-Produce: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd86d87914387111b47355e87aca7c032dbe5648d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sniveling-Produce: +$5.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$4.0K
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL No @ 32¢ | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 27 | SELL Yes @ 18¢ | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 75¢ | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $3.5K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 94¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $7.7K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 94¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 87¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY No @ 58¢ | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?