Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach
0xe41adddfd269f811c8dc173237ed8c4f213d29bd
Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach: +$33 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$33
return +1.7%
Settled bets
3
$1.9K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$4
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$37
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-06 House seat? |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-06 House seat? | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | SELL No
@ 99.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat? |
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat? | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | $1.9K |
| Sep 9 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.9K |
| Aug 24 | SELL No
@ 99.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | $1.4K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.