Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
28 whales put $90K into this market since Aug 20, 58% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$20K and 10 lost −$38K: −$18K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 28| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indelible-Try
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $12K | — | +$717 |
| Opulent-Right
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 77¢ | $9.6K | — | −$9.6K |
| Self-Reliant-Distribution
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 91¢ | $8.2K | — | −$8.2K |
| Agitated-Jalapeño
12 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 86¢ | $2.2K | $3.2K | — |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 95¢ | $4.8K | — | −$4.8K |
| Emotional-Council
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 89¢ | $3.8K | — | −$3.8K |
| Skinny-Class
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.7K | — |
| Sparse-Cookie
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 84¢ | $3.2K | — | +$609 |
| Key-Sovereignty
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 86¢ | $3.2K | — | −$3.2K |
| Natural-Vacation
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 77¢ | $1.2K | $1.9K | — |
| Finished-Wind
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Common-Nitrogen
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 25¢ | $2.8K | — | +$8.1K |
| Scented-Eyelids
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Mundane-Hood
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 44¢ | $2.3K | — | +$3.0K |
| Quick-Cardboard
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 80¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Whirlwind-Maggot
13 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Mushy-Asymmetry
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Second-Hand-Follower
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Bare-Stag
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.59¢ | $1.7K | — | +$7 |
| Nice-Perennial
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.6K | — | +$162 |
| Impartial-Sailboat
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 76¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Vibrant-Divide
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 30¢ | $1.5K | — | +$3.5K |
| Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 74¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Green-Birdwatcher
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$40K58% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $20K sold
-
Yes won$28K40% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $2.0K sold
-
No lost$1.5K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $88K | 16 | Won: 3DMAX | |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | $53K | 14 | Won: No | |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever | $58K | 9 | Won: Indiana Fever | |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | $94K | 8 | Won: Yes | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | $75K | 9 | Won: No | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | $212K | 27 | Won: No | |
| Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 4 Winner | $51K | 7 | Won: Luminosity | |
| Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $191K | 27 | Won: 3DMAX |