Green-Birdwatcher
0x3458ae6606828ed4d9666573e1585d9419efb5a7
Green-Birdwatcher: +$745 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$745
return +18.1%
Settled bets
4
$4.1K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$631
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 66¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Texas
@ 86¢
Texas vs. Tennessee |
Texas vs. Tennessee | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Jaguars
@ 53¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos |
Jaguars vs. Broncos | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | $1.1K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 86¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | $1.4K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.