Nice-Perennial
0xcdb1f1ef8213c06911e4ba6a884176c5571e276c
Nice-Perennial: +$12K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$12K
return +71.6%
Settled bets
8
$17K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$11K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$930
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 51¢
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? |
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 80¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | $11K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 40¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | $3.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $15K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 99.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | $3.2K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | $1.6K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Yes
@ 83¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? |
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.