Polymarket market · Other

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

27 whales put $212K into this market since Aug 20, 99% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 21 made +$12K and 2 lost −$1.8K: +$11K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 27
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Cheerful-Ephemera
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $74K — +$2.2K
Vague-Speech
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $39K — +$1.2K
Serene-Sculpting
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 87¢ $14K $6.4K —
Determined-Valuable
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $8.9K — +$1.4K
Whirlwind-Maggot
13 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $8.8K — +$1.2K
True-Graduation
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $3.6K $3.8K +$177
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $6.1K — +$79
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 99¢ $4.2K — +$51
Fearless-Misnomer
34 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 81¢ $4.1K — +$950
Serpentine-Maggot
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 78¢ $3.5K — −$657
Attached-Pump
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $3.2K — +$521
Wiry-Voter
12 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 95¢ $3.0K — +$160
Pushy-Vision
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 81¢ $1.9K $1.1K +$411
Skinny-Class
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 73¢ $2.9K — +$1.1K
Valid-Underground
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Spanish-Sustainment
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 70¢ $2.5K — +$1.1K
Serene-Decision
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $2.3K — +$288
Vengeful-Netsuke
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 94¢ $2.3K — +$138
Short-Term-Copying-Son
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $2.0K — +$639
Unripe-Whisker
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $1.9K — +$71
Scented-Eyelids
14 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $1.9K — +$140
Quick-Cardboard
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 92¢ $1.8K — +$154
Testy-Operator
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Grumpy-Cytokine
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.3¢ $1.5K — +$11
Hateful-Generation
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 24¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $193K
    99% of whale buying · 23 buyers · $15K sold
  2. No lost
    $1.3K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.5K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $1.1K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed