Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom

0x0787a58e205a70320db638113fe8da18c8800ca3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom: −$2.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.3K
return −11.0%
Settled bets
6
$21K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.5K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$192
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY Yes @ 99¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? $3.0K
Oct 12 BUY Yes @ 98¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? $3.0K
Sep 28 BUY No @ 68¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $1.4K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 33¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $1.7K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 96¢
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? $1.2K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 84¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? $1.5K
Sep 14 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? $9.9K
Sep 2 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026? $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed