Scented-Eyelids
0x8a8bc9920202f24e6bcefdaf21dd9e297d9e375c
Scented-Eyelids: +$11K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 79% (95% range 52%–92%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$11K
return +39.7%
Settled bets
14
$27K staked
Won
78.6%
95% range 52%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$6.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | $1.4K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Yes
@ 99.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | $2.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | $1.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $4.4K |
| Oct 5 | SELL No
@ 91¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | $4.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 88¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? |
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | $3.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 91¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.