Bare-Stag

0x2fa801da750904fc348ccb9315a0b892377d4359

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Bare-Stag: +$2.0K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return —
Settled bets
1
$0 staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 31 SELL Yes @ 82¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? $1.7K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 15¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $1.1K
Aug 27 BUY Yes @ 82¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? $1.6K
Aug 21 SELL No @ 91¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? $1.4K
Aug 21 SELL No @ 81¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? $2.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed