Mundane-Hood

0x5e73afb20c2b27caccdaad9e49b97fd336576697

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Mundane-Hood: +$965 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$965
return +7.2%
Settled bets
5
$13K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$527
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$438
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY Yes @ 97¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? $3.8K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 46¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? $1.3K
Oct 5 SELL Yes @ 55¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? $1.4K
Sep 25 BUY Yes @ 24¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? $1.1K
Sep 25 SELL Yes @ 62¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House $1.0K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 56¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? $1.2K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 35¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? $1.1K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 77¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed