Emotional-Council

0x49e94011df9060dcc367995892faeb193e348f85

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Emotional-Council: −$3.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.0K
return −18.9%
Settled bets
4
$16K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$3.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 1 BUY No @ 89¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? $3.8K
Sep 1 BUY No @ 98¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? $1.5K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 93¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? $9.7K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 92¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? $1.1K
Aug 20 SELL No @ 99.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? $18K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed