Polymarket market · Other

Will France win on 2026-09-25?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $86K into this market since Sep 22, 91% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$22K and 1 lost −$5.2K: +$17K between them.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Disguised-Cable-Chino
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $16K — +$5.9K
Questionable-Burial
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.1K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $5.7K — +$2.3K
Artistic-Organising-Flair
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 31¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Inferior-Freon
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 70¢ $4.7K — +$2.0K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 69¢ $4.4K — +$1.9K
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $4.0K — +$36
0x4247…91c4
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Sweet-Number
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $3.2K — +$1.3K
Creepy-Flintlock
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $3.0K — +$1.1K
0xf68a…5b13
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 70¢ $3.0K — +$1.3K
Wasteful-Fourths
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $3.0K — +$1.2K
Pleasing-Blank
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $2.9K — +$635
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 73¢ $2.7K — +$992
Excited-Bond
26 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $2.7K — +$1.0K
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $2.7K — +$995
Growing-Toughguy
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.6K —
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Forked-Pricing
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 78¢ $2.0K — +$575
Quirky-Enthusiasm
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $2.0K — +$745
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $61K
    91% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $19K sold
  2. No lost
    $5.2K
    8% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Yes lost
    $1.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22 to Sep 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed