Growing-Toughguy

0x24ae647bd3d6fec6ec54e3e02606a0a260804c80

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Growing-Toughguy: +$657 on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 32% (95% range 15%–54%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$657
return +4.7%
Settled bets
19
$14K staked
Won
31.6%
95% range 15%–54%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$587
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$999
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Over @ 99¢
Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5
Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5 $4.8K
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 52¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? $2.0K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? $2.0K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 91¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? $1.5K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 56¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? $2.6K
Oct 5 SELL Over @ 94¢
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 1.5
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 1.5 $1.1K
Sep 25 SELL Yes @ 82¢
Will France win on 2026-09-25?
Will France win on 2026-09-25? $2.6K
Sep 25 SELL Yes @ 98¢
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25?
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25? $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed