Polymarket market · Other

Navy vs. UAB

Resolved: UAB won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $89K into this market since Sep 24, 53% of their buying on UAB. UAB won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$46K and 4 lost −$38K: +$8.1K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UAB @ 43¢ $19K — +$25K
Euphoric-Table
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Navy @ 61¢ $16K — −$16K
Rude-Pickaxe
13 settled bets Beat the odds*
UAB @ 50¢ $9.8K — +$9.8K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
UAB @ 82¢ $9.2K — −$9.2K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Navy @ 66¢ $8.4K — −$8.4K
Sociable-Forgery
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UAB @ 50¢ $3.6K $1.5K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Navy @ 72¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Prickly-Barrel
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UAB @ 50¢ $4.2K — +$4.2K
Shiny-Advertisement
12 settled bets Too few bets
UAB @ 72¢ $4.0K — +$1.6K
Limited-Fleece-Way
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Accomplished-Courage
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Hateful-Chord
157 settled bets Beat the odds*
UAB @ 30¢ $1.6K — +$3.7K
Funny-Shoelace
7 settled bets Too few bets
UAB @ 44¢ $1.4K — +$1.8K

Where the whale money went

  1. UAB won
    $44K
    53% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $3.6K sold
  2. Navy lost
    $33K
    40% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.5K sold
  3. UAB lost
    $5.1K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 24 to Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed