Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Resolved: Sinners won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $77K into this market since Sep 24, 82% of their buying on Sinners. Sinners won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$69K and 4 lost −$13K: +$56K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sinners @ 47¢ $40K — +$45K
Rash-Barometer
375 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sinners @ 45¢ $16K — +$20K
Stylish-Pattypan
174 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alliance @ 55¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alliance @ 59¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Delicious-Attacker
472 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $4.6K —
Harmless-Inclusion
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sinners @ 45¢ $2.3K — +$2.8K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alliance @ 36¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Diligent-Tectonics
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sinners @ 46¢ $1.2K — +$1.4K
Squeaky-Harmony
11 settled bets Too few bets
Alliance @ 56¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Sinners won
    $60K
    82% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.6K sold
  2. Alliance lost
    $13K
    18% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 24 to Sep 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed