Artistic-Organising-Flair

0x516c5e7b36410d10b8f713a4f93e42c8c9843d58

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Artistic-Organising-Flair: +$285 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$285
return +0.5%
Settled bets
6
$53K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.8K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$13K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$10K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY No @ 31¢
Will France win on 2026-09-25?
Will France win on 2026-09-25? $5.2K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 43¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? $5.3K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 55¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? $27K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 44¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? $9.6K
Sep 4 BUY No @ 48¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? $2.9K
Aug 30 BUY No @ 74¢
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? $3.2K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed