Polymarket market · Other

Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

47 whales put $5.75M into this market since Sep 22, 68% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 34 whales whose whole position we captured, 25 made +$156K and 9 lost −$477K: −$321K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 47
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Murky-Survival-Delight
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 62¢ $760K $4.17M —
Present-Grape-Drinking
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 40¢ $421K — −$421K
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $71K — +$40K
Rosy-Trinket
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 62¢ $54K — +$33K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 39¢ $28K — −$28K
Real-Vegetarian
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $24K — +$21K
Calculating-City-Spokeswoman
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $21K — +$14K
Unfolded-Impostor-Bankruptcy
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $16K — +$11K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $15K — +$285
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 43¢ $15K — −$15K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 59¢ $14K — +$2.8K
Gloomy-Marxism-Idiom
23 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 76¢ $4.9K $6.6K —
Simplistic-Earrings
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 68¢ $5.0K $6.3K +$1.3K
Euphoric-Table
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $10K — +$6.7K
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 62¢ $9.2K — +$5.6K
Biodegradable-Romaine
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $8.7K —
Thunderous-Authorisation-Snarl
20 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $8.2K —
Studious-Wrinkle
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.2K —
Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 56¢ $7.6K — +$6.0K
Wasteful-Fourths
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 57¢ $3.3K $2.5K +$358
Artistic-Organising-Flair
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 43¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
Fake-Suet
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $5.0K — +$2.8K
Passionate-Minorleague
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 86¢ $4.0K — +$659
0x7e36…c891
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.5K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 63¢ $3.2K — +$1.9K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $1.04M
    68% of whale buying · 27 buyers · $4.22M sold
  2. No lost
    $485K
    32% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $8.2K sold
  3. No lost
    $1.0K
    0% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed