Polymarket market · Other

Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $89K into this market since Sep 23, 50% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$9.7K and 6 lost −$41K: −$31K between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 37¢ $29K — −$29K
Bad-Documentation
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $11K $2.5K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 75¢ $10K — +$3.5K
Entire-Packaging
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 39¢ $7.0K — −$7.0K
Illustrious-Budget
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 81¢ $4.7K — +$1.1K
Harmless-Cabana
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $4.5K — +$111
Frivolous-Risk
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 58¢ $4.1K — +$3.0K
Unwieldy-Stick-Acetate
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $3.2K — +$3
Superior-Artificer-Heifer
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $2.0K — +$1.1K
Homely-Zucchini-Bit
195 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Robust-Setback
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.7¢ $1.7K — +$5
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 60¢ $1.2K — +$813
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Gifted-Ellipse
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 37¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Accurate-Hull
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 38¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Old-Peek
19 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Orderly-Venture
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 37¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $41K
    50% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $4.5K sold
  2. No won
    $41K
    49% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $1.1K sold
  3. No lost
    $1.2K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed