Polymarket market · Other

Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $102K into this market since Sep 23, 99% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$6.1K and 1 lost −$1.0K: +$5.1K between them.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $7.5K $11K —
Forked-Pricing
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $15K — +$955
Proud-Patrolling-Nose
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $13K —
Horrible-Enthusiasm
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $5.0K $5.1K +$87
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 90¢ $10K — +$1.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 89¢ $5.4K — +$633
Inferior-Freon
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 81¢ $5.0K — +$1.2K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 93¢ $4.6K — +$370
0xf584…3979
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.3K —
Passionate-Minorleague
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 86¢ $3.0K — +$500
Unlined-Observation
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 92¢ $2.4K — +$207
Starry-Bayou
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $2.3K — +$174
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 86¢ $2.0K — +$319
0x0f34…7684
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $1.6K — +$290
Virtuous-Encounter
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $1.2K — +$257
Glossy-Downstairs-Coal
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $1.1K — +$85
Negligible-Certification
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 16¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $66K
    99% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $35K sold
  2. No lost
    $1.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed