Polymarket market · Other
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales put $120K into this market since Sep 24, 54% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$39K and 9 lost −$43K: −$4.4K between them.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 67¢ | $20K | — | −$8.2K |
| Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 62¢ | $19K | — | +$11K |
| Thrifty-Brother-Deputy
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 61¢ | $17K | — | +$11K |
| Forceful-Cupola
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Hateful-Volunteer
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 62¢ | $9.6K | — | +$5.9K |
| Cute-Legitimacy
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 44¢ | $7.6K | — | +$9.7K |
| Bad-Documentation
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 69¢ | $3.5K | $3.6K | +$183 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $3.4K | — | −$1.3K |
| Automatic-Learning
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 38¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Homely-Guilty
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 57¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 60¢ | $1.2K | — | +$827 |
| Trim-Winner-Amusement
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Accurate-Hull
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Impractical-Ikebana
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Inconsequential-Speech-Cupboard
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 70¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
| Bony-Storyboard
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 53¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$61K54% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.1K sold
-
Yes lost$47K41% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $4.7K sold
-
No lost$5.7K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).