Polymarket market · Sports

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales put $937K into this market since Sep 8, 92% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$551K and 13 lost −$70K: +$481K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Present-Grape-Drinking
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $751K — +$497K
Prickly-Psychiatrist
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 55¢ $50K — +$40K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 58¢ $22K — +$11K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 41¢ $21K — −$21K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 55¢ $16K — −$9.1K
Thunderous-Authorisation-Snarl
20 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $11K —
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $9.5K — −$9.5K
Capital-Devil
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.89¢ $7.5K — +$8
Careful-Noir-Equinox
121 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $7.3K — −$7.3K
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 55¢ $6.3K — −$324
Overlooked-Wetsuit
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 45¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Fickle-Association
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 42¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Spiffy-Revenue
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 40¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Jaunty-Private-Assignment
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 40¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Slow-Bake
11 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99¢ $2.5K — +$25
0xf584…3979
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Usable-Diction
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Tame-Ethyl
24 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 49¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Proud-Patrolling-Nose
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Homely-Zucchini-Bit
195 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 58¢ $1.5K — +$1.1K
0xbcba…c950
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Livid-Climb
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 35¢ $1.3K — +$2.5K
International-Deal
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $840K
    92% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $6.2K sold
  2. No lost
    $68K
    7% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $13K sold
  3. No lost
    $10K
    1% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 8 to Sep 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed