Homely-Zucchini-Bit

0x56f4f054e92ced8fa7accfebcad73251afe49ec5

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Homely-Zucchini-Bit: +$47K on 195 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 36%–50%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$47K
return +15.0%
Settled bets
195
$312K staked
Won
43.1%
95% range 36%–50%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 91 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.8K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$26K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$18K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 59¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 $3.3K
Oct 9 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5 $2.1K
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 72¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 72¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 $4.8K
Oct 9 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5 $1.6K
Oct 9 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 $1.1K
Oct 9 SELL No @ 34¢
Will Sivasspor win on 2026-10-09?
Will Sivasspor win on 2026-10-09? $1.2K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 37¢
Will Sivasspor win on 2026-10-09?
Will Sivasspor win on 2026-10-09? $2.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed