0xbcba…c950
0xbcbafd7f5071a0cab3ae6efae16698159e5fc950
0xbcba…c950: +$324 on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 39%–82%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$324
return +1.7%
Settled bets
16
$19K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 39%–82%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$716
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$545
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | SELL Yes
@ 75¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | $1.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 75¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | $1.7K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 54¢
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17? |
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17? | $1.6K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 49¢
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17? |
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17? | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? |
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | $4.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | $1.2K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes
@ 42¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? |
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? | $1.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 49¢
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-09-12? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.