Usable-Diction

0xbc5b77b1274d7b48257d9b4d1bf7652e32ec3ddc

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Usable-Diction: +$11K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 31%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$11K
return +942.3%
Settled bets
22
$1.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 31%–69%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$3.5K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$6.4K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$998
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL Over @ 56¢
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 $1.2K
Sep 23 BUY Over @ 92¢
Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $1.1K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 36¢
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20?
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20? $1.1K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 85¢
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-09-20? $1.0K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 50¢
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19?
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19? $1.1K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 50¢
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19?
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19? $1.9K
Sep 20 SELL Yes @ 51¢
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19?
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-09-19? $1.0K
Sep 18 SELL No @ 95¢
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-17?
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-17? $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed