Slow-Bake
0x16f04595fe97082d1341e42936a358a96569aba5
Slow-Bake: −$8.9K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$8.9K
return −41.2%
Settled bets
11
$22K staked
Won
63.6%
95% range 35%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$6.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 97¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 36¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | $1.3K |
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 36¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | $1.1K |
| Sep 11 | BUY G2
@ 82¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Sep 10 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic - Map 2 Winner | $4.2K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? |
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? | $2.5K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | $2.8K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.