Polymarket market · Other

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

28 whales traded $139K on this market since Oct 25, 96% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ less per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 96% of the whale buying on it. Of the 21 whales whose whole position we captured, 18 made +$43K and 3 lost −$2.5K: +$40K between them. Biggest win: Mixed-Silo-Dream, +$20K on Yes. Biggest loss: Miserable-Poison, −$1.2K on Yes.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 28
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,154 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 95¢ $28K — +$280
Mixed-Silo-Dream
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 50¢ $20K — +$20K
Miserable-Poison
1,374 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 97¢ $11K — −$1.2K
International-Deal
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 97¢ $9.1K — +$292
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,275 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 48¢ $6.8K — +$7.5K
Cold-Beech-Ability
82 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 86¢ $6.2K — +$1.0K
Imaginative-River
80 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 93¢ $6.0K — +$423
Angelic-Closure
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.8K —
Embarrassed-Atmosphere
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Scarce-Acquaintance
16 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 97¢ $3.7K — +$114
Yawning-Chicken
308 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 76¢ $3.6K — +$1.1K
Deficient-Emphasis
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 49¢ $3.3K — +$3.5K
0x8474…c1a5
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,204 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 97¢ $3.0K — +$104
Other-Onset
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Quick-Witted-Appetiser
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $3.0K — +$448
Memorable-Maelstrom
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $3.0K — +$3.3K
Boring-Snob
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 53¢ $1.3K $1.3K −$25
Practical-Marriage
14 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 62¢ $2.5K — +$1.5K
Elegant-Plugin
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.8¢ $2.0K — +$4
Rapid-Climate
106 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Substantial-Service
1,066 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 81¢ $1.7K — +$392
Happy-Go-Lucky-Peer-Filth
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 97¢ $1.4K — +$48
Scary-Edible
1,615 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 32¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Critical-Adaptation-Pronoun
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $113K
    96% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $15K sold
  2. No lost
    $5.1K
    4% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.4K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $3.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793170821).

About this data · run 1793170821, computed 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793170821 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed