Polymarket market · Other
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $170K on this market since Oct 23, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 9.6¢ more per share, with 39% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
In the live feed
Polymarket whale bets
BUY
$110K
bought No
@ 85¢ → now 86¢ (+$1.3K)
Miniature-Sauerkraut-Pack
·
no settled bets on record yet
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6774…c635
no settled record |
No @ 85¢ | $110K | $44K |
| Portly-Tapioca
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 85¢ | $12K | — |
| Writhing-Round
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 85¢ | $2.1K | — |
| Decisive-Ephyra
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 88¢ | $1.8K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$126K100% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $44K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $293K | 49 | Open | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $609K | 52 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $100K | 31 | Open | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $569K | 65 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $721K | 78 | Open | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | $94K | 23 | Open | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $525K | 92 | Open | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | $107K | 10 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?