Quick-Witted-Appetiser
Skill vs luck
Quick-Witted-Appetiser on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Quick-Witted-Appetiser: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6519259c2b215ee3c958e57276ac9d679d3e611b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Quick-Witted-Appetiser: +$1.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$378
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 68¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? |
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? | $2.5K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Yes
@ 88¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? |
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes @ 85¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes @ 80¢ | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 90¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-12? |
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-12? | $3.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?