Happy-Go-Lucky-Peer-Filth
Skill vs luck
Happy-Go-Lucky-Peer-Filth on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$47. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Happy-Go-Lucky-Peer-Filth: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4e9b311a4025020ad739a2c1966cff87fe742258. Data CC BY 4.0.
Happy-Go-Lucky-Peer-Filth: +$47 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$47
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 97¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Mirassol FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 |
Mirassol FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?